Whether to play or to watch, matchplay is exciting. It's a totally different game - the player who churns out 4 70s every week can pack up early - you need to be able to turn on the gas to triumph this week. 64 one day mightn't be enough, a 73 tomorrow could win 3&2. Every shot your opponent hits changes your own game plan, no matter how many pros say they just play their own game.There'll be matches ending on the 12th green, and players still going on the 24th teebox.
So who's going to win? Some players suit the format - in the early 1900s US amateur Jerry Travers was practically unbeatable in matchplay but couldn't string 4 rounds together in strokeplay. Geoff Ogilvy is the latest Accenture king, with 2 victories and a runners-up spot in four appearances. With a win from his only tournament so far this season, and a third child for him and his wife, the easygoing Australian will be feeling good again. He faces Swede Alexander Noren in the first round, and you've got to think his pedigree will count against the rookie.
That being said, we'll have upsets in the first round, as always. Matt Kuchar could be a decent long odds bet against Ryder Cup hero Anthony Kim, and expect Padraig Harrington to have a tough ride against Jeev Milkha Singh. Francesco Molinari will be looking to continue his good form into a win against Zach Johnson, and Chris Wood will fancy his chances against Lee Westwood, who has had little success in the Matchplay for a player of his talent.
The Gary Player bracket looks to be particularly strong this year, with Ogilvy, Westwood, Henrik Stenson, and Ernie Els heading it up. Stenson is a former winner of this event, and at 30/1, Els is my pick for the championship. A quarter-final loss last year his best performance, the Big Easy nonetheless has a phenomenal matchplay record throughout his career, and with 3 top-12s from 3 this year so far, I think it's Ernie's time to shine. A win against Ryan Moore in his first round could set up a clash with Retief Goosen, another resurgent South African. Let's face it though - there won't be any easy matches all week.
Prime match-ups of the first round?
Robert Karlsson v. Rory Sabbatini
Ross Fisher v. Thongchai Jaidee
Padraig Harrington v. Jeev Milkha Singh
Ian Poulter v. Justin Leonard (Plenty of people expect the fiery Poulter to go far after his Ryder Cup success)
Luke Donald v. Graeme McDowell (Tough to call, but I reckon Donald's a good bet to reach the quarters)
Camilo Villegas v. Dustin Johnson (Johnson's coming off a win at Pebble Beach, and will fancy his chances against the Colombian making his first appearance of 2010)
Hunter Mahan v. Charl Schwartzel
Stewart Cink v. Edoardo Molinari (Cink has finished 2nd and 3rd here in the past, and after his Open win last year should put in another solid performance, while Molinari will be hoping to set up a clash with his brother in the quarter-finals.
Check out the comments below to see how I think the draw will pan out - at the moment my quarter-finals are:
Steve Stricker v. Ian Poulter
Ernie Els v. Geoff Ogilvy
Lucas Glover v. Luke Donald
Stewart Cink v. Paul Casey
Who knows just how wrong I could be - prediction is a fool's game this week, but who'd complain with those for our final 8?
Keep in touch here to stay up to date with the week as it progresses. Until then, enjoy the golf.
1 comment:
Stricker to beat McGowan
Ishikawa to beat Sim
Karlsson to beat Sabbatini
Fisher to beat Jaidee
Harrington to beat JM Singh
Kuchar to beat Kim
Poulter to beat Leonard
Cabrera to beat Scott
Kaymer to beat Campbell
Clark to beat V Singh
Garcia to beat Toms
Glover to beat A Hansen
McIlroy to beat Na
Jimenez to beat Wilson
Allenby to beat Hanson
Donald to beat McDowell
Westwood to beat Wood
Watney to beat Ikada
Els to beat Moore
Goosen to beat S Hansen
Stenson to beat Crane
Yang to beat Kjeldsen
Ogilvy to beat Noren
D Johnson to beat Villegas
Furyk to beat Verplank
Schwartzel to beat Mahan
O'Hair to beat Dyson
Cink to beat E Molinari
Casey to beat Ames
Quiros to beat Weir
Perry to beat Gay
F Molinari to beat Z Johnson
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