Wednesday, February 17, 2010

A Flying Start

We were promised exciting matchplay golf. We got it.

The first day of the Accenture World Matchplay did not disappoint. There were close finishes, upsets, top seeds pushed to the limit, and some simply incredible golf.
Best to start with the casualties - Padraig Harrington is heading home with a last-64 cheque for $45,000 after losing 3&1 to Jeev Milkha Singh - the golf wasn't spectacular but it was a great match - Harrington was spraying the ball around and relying on his major-winning short game to stay in it. In the end, the workman-like swing of Singh was too much for the Irishman, and the Indian No. 1 will face Matt Kuchar in the next round.
Kuchar, as predicted here last night, was another giantkiller, taking down Anthony Kim. Again, Kim was off-form, but Kuchar played a solid game to win 3&2.

Defending champion Geoff Ogilvy had an easy start to his campaign, defeating Alex Noren 7&5. Ogilvy didn't play his best golf, but he'll be happy to get the ball rolling again on a course he loves.
Mike Weir produced the performance of the day - 9 birdies in the 12 holes he played blew away Alvaro Quiros by 8&6 - Paul Casey looked gobsmacked when he heard about his 2nd round opponent in interview, but after Casey's 5&4 win over Stephen Ames, that could be one of the highlights of tomorrow.
Luke Donald played some great matchplay golf to hold off Graeme McDowell 2&1 and set up a showdown wit Robert Allenby tomorrow - Donald looks back in good touch this year, and I fancy him to go far this week. Rory McIlroy and Martin Kaymer are both in his bracket, and both produced fantastic back nines to win their matches. McIlroy was 4 down through 6 holes, 2 down through 14, and won on the 18th. I don't care what the commentators say - that's the sort of match you want in the first round. An early finish might be a little easier, but if you don't get pushed in the early rounds you won't be ready when the going gets tough. Just look at Ogilvy last year - he hardly finished a match before the 18th all week. Forget what they say about the players needing a rest - they are all fit guys, and golf's their job. The guys who went to 18, 19, 20 holes today are my favourites to win tomorrow.
Two such were the Molinari brothers, who both lost out only just - Edoardo was 4 up on Stewart Cink with 9 to play, but the Open Champion holed everything on the back to sneak a win.

Another late finisher was Ian Poulter, who beat Justin Leonard on the 19th. Poults is a fiery matchplayer, and he's going to be tough to beat. With Harrington and top seed Steve Stricker out of the Bobby Jones bracket, Poulter's become a very strong contender for the semi-finals. Stricker looked pretty good against Ross McGowan, but the Englishman stuck with him all the way, took him to extra holes, and holed a beauty on the 19th for the win. He'll have a second round match against 18-year old Japanese sensation Ryo Ishikawa.

Match of the day tomorrow is arguably the clash of the South Africans - Ernie Els and Retief Goosen won their matches without too much difficulty, and the only shame is that one of them will be going home tomorrow night.
The bad news of the tournament is that Henrik Stenson, former champion and one of the pre-tournament favourites, had to withdraw after one hole against Ben Crane. The guys in his bracket will be relieved that the big-hitting Swede is no longer a threat, but it's a shame that he won't be playing a tournament that suits him so well.

There were good wins from Yang, Schwartzel, Jaidee, Clark and Karlsson among others today, and we look set for a great week. Check out the comments below for Round 2 predictions, and keep in touch with how it pans out here.

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

One On One

Certain weeks of the year are special. Augusta. Open Week. The Ryder Cup is perhaps at the top of the tree. But the Accenture World Matchplay isn't far behind.
Whether to play or to watch, matchplay is exciting. It's a totally different game - the player who churns out 4 70s every week can pack up early - you need to be able to turn on the gas to triumph this week. 64 one day mightn't be enough, a 73 tomorrow could win 3&2. Every shot your opponent hits changes your own game plan, no matter how many pros say they just play their own game.There'll be matches ending on the 12th green, and players still going on the 24th teebox.

So who's going to win? Some players suit the format - in the early 1900s US amateur Jerry Travers was practically unbeatable in matchplay but couldn't string 4 rounds together in strokeplay. Geoff Ogilvy is the latest Accenture king, with 2 victories and a runners-up spot in four appearances. With a win from his only tournament so far this season, and a third child for him and his wife, the easygoing Australian will be feeling good again. He faces Swede Alexander Noren in the first round, and you've got to think his pedigree will count against the rookie.

That being said, we'll have upsets in the first round, as always. Matt Kuchar could be a decent long odds bet against Ryder Cup hero Anthony Kim, and expect Padraig Harrington to have a tough ride against Jeev Milkha Singh. Francesco Molinari will be looking to continue his good form into a win against Zach Johnson, and Chris Wood will fancy his chances against Lee Westwood, who has had little success in the Matchplay for a player of his talent.

The Gary Player bracket looks to be particularly strong this year, with Ogilvy, Westwood, Henrik Stenson, and Ernie Els heading it up. Stenson is a former winner of this event, and at 30/1, Els is my pick for the championship. A quarter-final loss last year his best performance, the Big Easy nonetheless has a phenomenal matchplay record throughout his career, and with 3 top-12s from 3 this year so far, I think it's Ernie's time to shine. A win against Ryan Moore in his first round could set up a clash with Retief Goosen, another resurgent South African. Let's face it though - there won't be any easy matches all week.

Prime match-ups of the first round?
Robert Karlsson v. Rory Sabbatini
Ross Fisher v. Thongchai Jaidee
Padraig Harrington v. Jeev Milkha Singh
Ian Poulter v. Justin Leonard (Plenty of people expect the fiery Poulter to go far after his Ryder Cup success)
Luke Donald v. Graeme McDowell (Tough to call, but I reckon Donald's a good bet to reach the quarters)
Camilo Villegas v. Dustin Johnson (Johnson's coming off a win at Pebble Beach, and will fancy his chances against the Colombian making his first appearance of 2010)
Hunter Mahan v. Charl Schwartzel
Stewart Cink v. Edoardo Molinari (Cink has finished 2nd and 3rd here in the past, and after his Open win last year should put in another solid performance, while Molinari will be hoping to set up a clash with his brother in the quarter-finals.

Check out the comments below to see how I think the draw will pan out - at the moment my quarter-finals are:
Steve Stricker v. Ian Poulter
Ernie Els v. Geoff Ogilvy
Lucas Glover v. Luke Donald
Stewart Cink v. Paul Casey

Who knows just how wrong I could be - prediction is a fool's game this week, but who'd complain with those for our final 8?
Keep in touch here to stay up to date with the week as it progresses. Until then, enjoy the golf.

Monday, February 15, 2010

It's What You Do, Ain't The Way That You Do It

A W's a W.

In 10 years time, that's all you'll see on the scoresheet. There'll be the obsessive golf fans and bloggers who'll be able to take you through the last four hours play, but the win's what counts.
Dustin Johnson will never win another tournament with such a poor last round, but that shouldn't worry him. When the going got tough, he got going. Just about.

There've been some topsy-turvy final rounds on Tour in the last few years - who could forget Rory McIlroy's near-collapse in Dubai last year before getting up and down from a bunker to win? Sound familiar? Dustin Johnson had three bogeys, a double bogey, and an eagle at Pebble Beach before that closing birdie, and you can bet he didn't feel comfortable once.
It looked to be a two-horse race at the day's beginning, with Johnson and Paul Goydos 4 shots ahead of a pack led by J.B. Holmes. The younger, big-hitting horse stumbled at the first, and when he failed to par the par-5 2nd, it looked like he was going to have a few nerves to contend with.
Goydos had a shaky start too, and at the turn Johnson was a shot behind, having cancelled out his eagle with a three-putt from nowhere at the 9th. Holmes started fast, but the engines cooled and he was struggling to put pressure on the frontrunners. Leave it to David Duval - without a win in nearly nine years, Duval rolled back the clock to give himself a shout at the title - a costly 6 on the par-5 14th meant that he would just miss out in the end.

The turning point for Johnson came on the 15th, one hole after Goydos had ruled himself out with a disastrous 9, following young Bryce Molder, who suffered a similar fate in the group ahead, down the leaderboard. Johnson played a poor chip from behind the green, leaving himself 6 feet for par. He rolled it in, and for the first time all day looked to have some composure. A bogey on the 17th piled the pressure back on his shoulders for the daunting final hole, but when J.B. failed to pick up a shot a birdie would be enough. A massive drive and an iron into the front bunker left Johnson a straightforward up-and-down, which he duly converted to defend his title.

He won it ugly, but it's another win, making him the first player since Tiger Woods to win in each of his first three seasons on Tour. Is he the real deal? All we saw yesterday was that he's not immune to pressure. Then again, who is? When it came to it he made a big putt on 15, and then played the home hole with guts. Let people criticise his smashing of the driver in a final round - he hit plenty of fairways - if you have a strength, play to it.
That's the sort of win that makes you that bit stronger when you're in that position again. And he will be in that position again. Following his bronze finish the week before, Johnson's risen to World Number 25, and will have one eye firmly on Corey Pavin's Ryder Cup team, vice-captained by? You got it - Paul Goydos.

The PGA Tour's delivered some smashing finishes in the last month, and we're heading into one of the best weeks of the year. 64 players head to Tucson for the World Matchplay, also known as Geoff Ogilvy's personal playground. Johnson against Camilo Villegas is just one of several mouth-watering 1st round matches, and don't be surprised if Johnson gets off to a flyer. His swashbuckling game might well suit the one-on-one format - with birdies and eagles galore the odd bogey can be alright.

Tune in tomorrow for a preview of the Matchplay, and a few tips for who might triumph in the desert.

Sunday, February 7, 2010

In The Prime Of Life

You can never write off Miguel Angel Jimenez. At 46, some of us thought that the charismatic Spaniard might be beginning to drift down the list of superstars and start thinking about the Seniors Tour in a few years. Obviously we never told him. The cigar-smoking, ponytailed, crocodile-skin-shoe wearing "Mechanic" showed us all today that he's still out there hunting titles. After a missed cut and a T-60 to start 2010, Jimenez got his game together and finally got his name on the trophy that has just eluded him three times. A final round 72 on a difficult day was enough to get into a playoff with Lee Westwood, and then we saw his true class. Outpowered on the 18th hole - the scene of the first two playoff holes - Jimenez stayed in it with a couple of gutsy pars, and while Westwood failed to convert twice. A bogey on the 9th cost the Englishman dearly, as Miguel Angel coolly slotted home from four feet to win.

Jimenez is just great fun to watch, not just for his style but for his intense competitiveness. When he gets on a roll he'll just knock down the flagsticks all the way round. I'd written him off for Celtic Manor later this year, and although he's got some competition from the new generation, he's not going to let them have it all their own way. He held them off today, and he looked like he enjoyed it.

Westwood will be kicking himself - he had his chances and didn't take them. He did well to get his composure back after back-to-back bogeys on the home nine, but he came up just short once again. He's really starting to putt well this year, and added to his already classy long game, we all know he's going to win a few this year, and maybe one of the big ones.

Rory McIlroy couldn't get it going on the greens today, but it was a sterling defence of his title nonetheless. Finishing in a tie for 6th place, McIlroy will look back on what could have been so much more - he didn't take his chances early on in the round and the last four or five holes sealed his fate. We have to remember, though - he's still a relative newcomer to the Tour, and the level of his consistency is incredible. Last season, he notched up a dozen top-5 finishes, and this year he's started with a 3rd and a 6th. He's one of those guys who's always there or thereabouts, and even when you watch him missing greens and putts you find out he's only a shot or two back. You don't have to win every event you play, and if you're throwing in top-10s consistently you won't be far off the titles. Jack Nicklaus - we all know the 18-major stat - what about the 19 major runner-ups?

I've picked Martin Kaymer and McIlroy before as the two players to be at the summit of European and World golf in 10 years time - the young German gave another stellar performance today. Like McIlroy, he couldn't do quite enough to match Westwood and Jimenez, but a 4th place finish included some fabulous play. He's an absolute joy to watch - his swing and temperament are as calm as each other, and when he gets a sniff of victory he's after it in a shot. Many more wins are just around the corner.

Spare a thought for Alvaro Quiros - he looked in control after hitting the 13th in two - 3 holes later he'd taken 9 putts and his week was over. Once you saw him miss the first short one you felt he was shaken, by the time he left himself the third one it was just a cruel joke. Quiros has oodles of talent, but he got a tough lesson today - the mental game down the stretch is pretty tough. He got to see Westwood deal with it today, and I've no doubt he'll be the better for it as the year goes on.

The other man to miss out was Thongchai Jaidee - the talented Thai missed from 5 feet at last to miss out on a spot in the playoff. He played great golf throughout the week, struggled today, but still did almost enough. Jaidee doesn't get the credit he deserves - he tends to put a couple of good months together each year - he'll be playing in the majors this year and will have to take advantage.

That's the end of the Gulf Swing - as always it delivered some incredible golf - we'd close finishes at each tournament. Next week is the inaugural Avantha Masters in India, before we go to Tucson for the World Matchplay. Tiger and Mickelson won't be in Arizona, but keep an eye on the guys in the hunt today - at least one of them's going to have a run at it.

Monday, February 1, 2010

He's Back

In 2008, European golf was dominated by one man. It wasn't Padraig Harrington, who made the global headlines. Back at home, notching up 10 top-5 finishes before finally winning back-to-back, Swede Robert Karlsson was Mr. Consistency. 2009 was a little different - Lee Westwood took on Karlsson's job, and Karlsson injured his eye. He missed much of the season, and failed to get a rhythm going all year. Anyone who's ever seen him play golf, however, knew it wouldn't last long.

At the end of 2009 Karlsson came second to Edoardo Molinari in a Challenge Tour event in Asia, and for me that heralded his return. Since then he put in a great performance in the World Cup, and heading to Qatar last week you'd be mad to write him off. A man with a temperament and a swing like his doesn't just go away. His health is back to 100%, so start watching the majors.

Sunday's performance was vintage Karlsson. He shot 65, with 7 birdies and no bogeys. His irons, as always when he's playing well, were scarily good. As usual though, the aspect of his game which won him the title was his mind. He just does not rattle. Put Karlsson and Stenson in a Ryder Cup pairing - they may not win, but from 3 or 4 down they won't fuss. They'll just continue along calmly, being tall and talented and Swedish, and play their own game.
Lee Westwood threw all he had at Karlsson on Sunday. He made 4 birdies in 5 holes on the back, including a ticklish birdie on 14 after Karlsson had stitched his to the pin. Karlsson kept his head, and hit fairways and greens. Westwood bogeyed the 16th, and Karlsson birdied 17 and 18. If there's a man you want to put your house on with a lead coming down the stretch look no further.

It was a fine performance from Alvaro Quiros in defence of his crown. He produced three birdies on the spin to finish and grab solo second place. Quiros is one of the most exciting prospects in world golf at the moment, and he's showed he's not scared of the big stage, posting a strong showing at the US PGA last year. He's a man Monty will want in his team for Celtic Manor - he's got fire in his belly and hits it a million yards.

Westwood may have faltered at the end, but we know he's playing the best golf of his career. He's going to win a major very soon, and don't be surprised if he clocks up 4 or 5 wins on Tour this year, which is no mean feat given the talent around today.
It would be wrong not to mention Paul Casey. Coming back from injury last year has been tough for him, but he played three great rounds here before he just had one of those days. Phil Mickelson did the same last night in Torrey Pines - these things happen. Casey isn't too far of his best golf again.

The final event of the Gulf Swing is on in Dubai this week where Rory McIlroy defends the title he so nearly threw away last year, before making a great sand save at the last. There's nothing short of a phenomenal field playing, including Karlsson and Westwood. We should be in for another fantastic tournament, and before we start, I'm going to go for Karlsson - when he gets on a roll he just keeps on rolling like he'll never stop. He's eyes look keen and back to the best - I'm sure they see another victory waiting in Dubai.

Sunday, January 24, 2010

Abu Dhabi Doo!

The Abu Dhabi Championship may only be five years old, but already it has all the hallmarks of a classic. Today, Martin Kaymer claimed the trophy for the second time in three years as he overcame Ian Poulter by a single shot.
In 2008, Kaymer saw a six-shot lead disintegrate before managing to hang on to his maiden Tour title. Having finished runner-up last year, this year was different once again - leading by a stroke with 18 holes to go, neither Kaymer nor Poulter dropped shots in their rounds of 66, and it took a birdie on the last for the German to ensure victory.

Martin Kaymer is only 25, but already he looks supremely assured on the course - he shot 67-67-67-66 this week to win his 5th European Tour title, and seems at ease playing with the best. This win moves him up to a career-high world number 6, and the way he looked this week it's obvious that the best is yet to come. He has a wonderful swing, and his putting was key this week. He's shown bottle in all of his wins, including two playoff victories, and Colin Montgomerie will already be licking his chops at the Ryder Cup pairings he can plan for the young German.

When Ian Poulter is on from, he's on form. Give him a scent of the lead and he'll go after it like a terrier. We've seen him hold his nerve before - at the Open Championship in 2008, and the Ryder Cup later that year - this week's play suggests he's heading for a good year. He won in Singapore in November to bring an end to a 3-year winless streak - he might never go that long without a victory again. His runner-up spot this week has lifted him into the world's top 10 for the first time, and they'd better get used to him. He'll be disappointed that he couldn't put his approach to the 18th today a little closer to give himself an easier put for the playoff, but he knows his game is back, and there's no one more confident in his own ability.

Rory McIlroy left himself just too much to do in the end - an early bogey caused him to slip off the pace of the leaders, and while he picked up 4 shots on the back nine, he needed an eagle on the last to force a playoff. Once his drive found the thick rough off the right-hand fairway, his race was practically run. He's started the year well once again, however, and he'll be looking forward to defending his title in Dubai in a fortnight.

One more player who deserves a mention is Shane Lowry - the young Irishman failed to make ground yesterday with a 71, and a 67 today could only leave him in 4th place. Not bad however, for a man who was an amateur this time last year. Lowry has faced a lot of criticism since his Irish Open win, but let's face it - the move from amateur to professional is not easy, and it was always going to take him some time to find his form. He's started the year well, and if you remember his win in Baltray you'll remember his guts - he didn't have an easy time of it that rainy Sunday - he lost his lead and regained it, before eventually prevailing in a playoff. There's plenty more of Lowry to come in 2010.

The Tour stays in the Gulf for the next two weeks, and we head to Qatar on Thursday, where Alvaro Quiros, one of the most exciting talents on the Tour along with Kaymer and McIlroy, is defending. Join me again this week to have a look at what he faces.

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Off To The Desert

And so, the European Tour bids farewell to South Africa this week and heads over to the Gulf, where it will take in Abu Dhabi, Qatar and Dubai.
One man will be disappointed to leave - Charl Schwartzel registered back-to-back wins in his homeland to give him the perfect start to the 2010 Race to Dubai. In the last edition of this blog Schwartzel was mentioned as a player who's always threatened to become a prolific winner but hasn't quite got it going. It looks like he does now. He may not have faced the strongest field in the world in Joburg last week, but nobody would have beaten him, as he raced away from the field to take a second title. Still only 25 years old, Schwartzel looks set to take on the world as the year continues. He leapt to 35th in the world after his victories and will aim to make gains in the majors and WGCs this year. He has a beautiful long game, and when he gets the putter hot, it's tough to stop him.

It was wonderful to see a resurgence from Darren Clarke in Joburg last week as well. Clarke played solid golf all week to tie for second place with local boy Keith Horne. We all know how good Darren is when he's at his best, and hopefully he can keep this form going this week. He's identified his primary goal for the year as the Ryder Cup in Wales, and he's got off to a good start. Competition is huge this year though, and he knows it - in 2008 he won twice on Tour and still failed to qualify. Always a favourite with the fans for his exciting runs of form, it would be nice to see a bit of consistency from the Ryder Cup hero. Let's be honest - we all want to see him teeing it up alongside Lee Westwood in Celtic Manor on 1st October.

This week, however, there's plenty to look forward to. Some of the biggest names in golf have decided to start their year in Abu Dhabi tomorrow, including Sergio Garcia, Henrik Stenson, Rory McIlroy, Martin Kaymer, and 2009 Race to Dubai winner Lee Westwood. Defending champion Paul Casey is also joined by Australian Geoff Ogilvy, who won the SBS Championship in the States to kick off his 2010. It's a first appearance in Abu Dhabi for the relaxed Aussie, but that doesn't matter - he'll just smile and make some birdies.

Casey had quite the year last year - he produced the best golf I've ever seen him play to win this event, including phenomenal putting, before he won again at Wentworth and on the PGA Tour. Having risen to World Number 3, he then suffered a rib injury to miss some time later on, and he never recovered his early form. No one can doubt that he's now a major player though, and if he putts like he did last year, he'll win.

Westwood, McIlroy and Kaymer are all going to make noise this year. No majors between them yet - check in 5 years time and they might have 10. Westwood has moved to another level of golf, beyond that he reached in 2000, despite his No. 4 rank at the time. He's more mature, more focussed, and has one of the best games in the world. He's going to win at least 3 or 4 this year, and don't be surprised if one of them's at Augusta.
McIlroy and Kaymer are two incredible talents - both future No. 1s, and in my mind definites for Celtic Manor, they too should grab a few victories this season, and they're close to majors. They're both calm, confident, and have an awesome game. If you want to know the leaders of European golf in 2020, there's my prediction (and who'll remember if I'm wrong?). They might let Ross Fisher in as well.

As for a couple of lower-profile picks, watch Louis Oosthuizen (2nd last year), Danny Willett (plenty to come from him this year) and Soren Kjeldsen (don't rule him out of a Ryder Cup berth).

The Gulf swing never fails to disappoint, and in a Ryder Cup year, every European wants to get off the marks early. Expect some low rounds - there're birdies to be had.